Community Forums > Voobly General > General Discussion / Off Topic > Falla Importante, TOP PLAYERS CHEAT REVEAL, Epic Bug

Falla Importante, TOP PLAYERS CHEAT REVEAL, Epic Bug

 Cogoyomonkey


Edited 17 January 2020 - 4:51 pm by Cogoyomonkey
JimmyRaton wrote:
the probability that team 1 gets a particular civ for n consecutive games given that he got that civ in the first game is ((17C7/18C8)*(7C3/8C4))^(n-1) = (2/9)^(n-1).
the probability that team 1 gets x particular civs and team 2 gets y particular civs for n consecutive games given that they got those civs in the first game is (((18-x-y)C(8-x-y)/18C8)*(((8-x-y)C(4-x))/8C4))^(n-1)
lets put x=2, y=2, n=3
the probability is 1.48 * 10^-11
to put this in perspective, the probability that u get a set of particular civs divided in 2 teams in a game that u play is (1/18C8)*(1/8C4) = 3.26 * 10^-7
with the assumption that the 2 teams are non-identical
if you divide the 2 probabilities the difference in scale is 3.26 * 10^-7 / 1.48 * 10^-11 = around 22000
so if the number of 4v4 games being played in a day in voobly (including cs, rm dm) is around 5000(i am giving a very conservative estimate as i am not sure) then its not a surprise that this event(repeating civs) has happened today. in 4-5 days later this might happen for some one else. however, if this is happening on different days for the same guy then there might be something fishy.


The statistics are based on approximately 5000 games that are played per day in voobly, but this "bug" is in the game, not in voobly, that is, it could be said on the host's pc, in the aoc files, so the statistic is poorly achieved
There are no other games for the host AOC between one game and another.


LIKE THIS:
Host provide civs to players

el anfitrión asigna las civilizaciones a los jugadores, esto no lo asigna voobly.
Civilizaciones en verde permanecen en el team, mientras las naranjas cambian de equipo, veamos...
Supongamos que funciona asi :

Civ 01 TEAM 1
Civ 02 TEAM 1
Civ 03 TEAM 1

Civ 04 TEAM 1
Civ 05 TEAM 2
Civ 06 TEAM 2
Civ 07 TEAM 2

Civ 08 TEAM 2
Civ 09 TEAM 3
Civ 10 TEAM 3
Civ 11 TEAM 3

Civ 12 TEAM 3
Civ 13 TEAM 4
Civ 14 TEAM 4
Civ 15 TEAM 4

Civ 16 TEAM 4
Civ 17 TEAM 1
Civ 18 TEAM 1


Y la siguiente partida funciona asi :

Civ 01 TEAM 1
Civ 02 TEAM 1
Civ 03 TEAM 1

Civ 04 TEAM 2
Civ 05 TEAM 2
Civ 06 TEAM 2
Civ 07 TEAM 2

Civ 08 TEAM 3
Civ 09 TEAM 3
Civ 10 TEAM 3
Civ 11 TEAM 3

Civ 12 TEAM 4
Civ 13 TEAM 4
Civ 14 TEAM 4
Civ 15 TEAM 4

Civ 16 TEAM 1
Civ 17 TEAM 1
Civ 18 TEAM 1


Esta explicación no es precisa ya que con este método de asignación se repetirían 3 civilizaciones por equipo en cada partida, y el bug repite como se puede ver en las imágenes de mas arriba, 1, 2 o hasta 3 civilizaciones.
Si bien no es el sistema de asignacion de civilizacion como lo expreso aca, es algo similar.
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 Cogoyomonkey


Posted 17 January 2020 - 5:25 pm
Supongo que la solución es solucionar el bug primero, y lanzar la nueva temporada, restablecer los rated y la season 8
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 Elektricity97


Posted 17 January 2020 - 5:37 pm
I don't know if this is indeed a bug or not, but from what I have played, I feel that the more FMT someone does, the stronger their civs. And 1 or 2 of those strong civs keeps repeating in the consecutive games.

But then, I could be wrong.
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 Cogoyomonkey


Posted 17 January 2020 - 5:56 pm
You are not wrong, I think we all notice it, from 15 ++ players, to 2.3k ++
Only nobody said it.
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 ['RB']ZottenDree


Posted 17 January 2020 - 6:03 pm
lol
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 heygirlhey


Edited 17 January 2020 - 9:03 pm by heygirlhey
I find your lines confusing. Anywho tl;dr

Attachments:
four.three.png (file size: 162.88 KB)

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 [xCs]PLO_Style


Posted 17 January 2020 - 9:27 pm
wow very good analysis

this discovery is truly revolutionary
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 Cogoyomonkey


Posted 17 January 2020 - 9:36 pm
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 Cogoyomonkey


Posted 17 January 2020 - 9:45 pm
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DUDE, **** MAN OR REALY HACKER?
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 seeyoulatter_


Posted 17 January 2020 - 9:47 pm

DUDE, **** MAN OR REALY HACKER?

I THINK BOTH!! **** MAN + REALY HACKER
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 seeyoulatter_


Posted 17 January 2020 - 9:48 pm
This reminds me of the time Javi was going to scientifically prove xCs was civhacking (it's a true story, ask him)
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 xVeniVidiVici


Posted 17 January 2020 - 9:50 pm
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 [Eot_]Eddy1


Posted 17 January 2020 - 10:00 pm
This reminds me of the time Javi was going to scientifically prove xCs was civhacking (it's a true story, ask him)

I didn’t say this. Please stop your lies you unknown smurf.

Ty
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 mAluka33


Posted 18 January 2020 - 1:51 am
u wrote it all alone?
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 asd12322


Posted 18 January 2020 - 2:37 am
Just a reminder for those old ****tards who can't and never will be competence for us, try harder next time so it's not gonna be an interesting william wallace campaign again lmao

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xCs Defeats DY:
https://www.voobly.com/forum/thread/314009

xCs Defeats Eot_
2v2 Efkan/Camp v Alex/Zanchy:
https://vooblycommittee.voobly.com/forum/thread/298097/:1319946#post1319946

xCs Defeats Eot_ again 4v4:
https://www.voobly.com/forum/thread/315123


CLAIMED TO BE THE BEST PROVED TO BE THE BEST

CLAIMED TO BE THE BEST PROVED TO BE THE BEST

CLAIMED TO BE THE BEST PROVED TO BE THE BEST



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